POST 12/8/25 Bracketology

Hey y'all! Here's a bracketology for all games through 12/8/25. A link to a bracket can be found here:

Please note that all records are against division one teams only.

BHG Bracket Predictions 12/8/25

1. (1.) Michigan (8-0)
2. (1.) Duke (10-0)
3. (1.) Arizona (8-0)
4. (1.) Iowa State (9-0)
5. (2.) UConn (8-1)
6. (2.) Michigan State (8-1)
7. (2.) Gonzaga (9-1)
8. (2.) Vanderbilt (9-0)
9. (3.) Purdue (8-1)
10. (3.) BYU (7-1)
11. (3.) Alabama (7-2)
12. (3.) UNC (8-1)
13. (4.) Louisville (8-1)
14. (4.) Houston (8-1)
15. (4.) Illinois (7-2)
16. (4.) Kansas (7-3)
17. (5.) Texas Tech (7-3)
18. (5.) Saint Mary's (8-1)
19. (5.) Arkansas (7-2)
20. (5.) Florida (5-3)
21. (6.) USC (8-1)
22. (6.) Tennessee (7-3)
23. (6.) Clemson (7-2)
24. (6.) Georgia (8-1)
25. (7.) Auburn (7-3)
26. (7.) Nebraska (9-0)
27. (7.) Virginia (8-1)
28. (7.) Seton Hall (9-1)
29. (8.) SMU (9-1)
30. (8.) St. John's (5-3)
31. (8.) Ohio State (7-1)
32. (8.) Butler (7-2)
33. (9.) Utah State (7-1)
34. (9.) NC State (6-3)
35. (9.) California (8-1)
36. (9.) Baylor (6-2)
37. (10.) Oklahoma State (9-0)
38. (10.) Miami - FL (8-2)
39. (10.) UCLA (7-2)
40. (10.) Wisconsin (7-2)
41. (11.) Boise State (5-2) ---> First Four
42. (11.) Saint Louis (8-1)
43. (11.) Iowa (8-1) ---> First Four
44. (11.) Yale (8-1)
45. (11.) Indiana (7-2) ---> First Four
46. (11.) Virginia Tech (8-2) ---> First Four
47. (12.) Tulsa (6-1)
48. (12.) Akron (7-2)
49. (12.) McNeese State (5-2)
50. (12.) Belmont (8-1)
51. (13.) UC San Diego (7-1)
52. (13.) Western Kentucky (5-2)
53. (13.) Utah Valley (6-3)
54. (13.) William & Mary (6-3)
55. (14.) High Point (7-2)
56. (14.) ETSU (6-2)
57. (14.) Siena (9-2)
58. (14.) Northern Colorado (6-1)
59. (15.) Lipscomb (5-4)
60. (15.) South Alabama (7-2)
61. (15.) UT Martin (5-2)
62. (15.) St. Thomas MN (6-4)
63. (16.) Oakland (4-5)
64. (16.) Colgate (4-4)
65. (16.) Vermont (3-4) ---> First Four
66. (16.) Long Island (5-4) ---> First Four
67. (16.) Bethune - Cookman (2-6) ---> First Four
68. (16.) Norfolk State (1-6) ---> First Four

First Sixteen Out, in groups of Four:

Notre Dame

TCU

Richmond

UCF

Colorado State

LSU

Santa Clara

Oklahoma

Colorado

VCU

Arizona State

Syracuse

George Washington

Kentucky 

Texas

New Mexico

A few thoughts here:

I highly prioritized quad 1 and two wins, possibly much more harshly than other peers. For those reasons, UK and Villanova get nowhere close to this bracket (who both have no wins outside quad 4), and teams like LSU, Iowa and Indiana are lower than normal brackets.

Some of the hardest distinctions in this bracket were the bubble as it stands, along with Vandy-Gonzaga. I went with Gonzaga due to their 40-point win over a team not in the tournament, which is why it doesn't sit well with me. Vandy gets to play UK too eventually.

High Point's faded over the past few weeks for reasons I can't explain, but the A-10 is a serious contender for multiple bids this year. Conference play gives the top 5/6 teams multiple (over 3) quad one opportunities across the board with the away games. 

Yes, Richmond is in my bubble - 2-0 in quads one and two, and their lone loss is a one point neutral court loss to Furman. That deserved some consideration.

It's not entirely over for the SEC, but they'll need some whopping point margins from their lower teams to have a chance of 11-12 teams in the bracket. 14 is almost certainly out.